The Estrie region has known for over 10 years the lowest annuel dropout rate with 19 % in 2012-2013. If you recall, this rate was 30.2% at the beginning of the TECIÉ and the Projet PRÉE. For that school year, including school leavers, nearly one in five young people had left school without a qualification or diploma. Over the last five years, in Estrie, close to 3, 000 young estriens have left school without qualifications or diploma.
Results based on the ministry indicators
A THREE-YEAR APPROACH TO BREAK THE TREND…
Based on the annual data produced by the ministère de l'Éducation, du Loisir et du Sport (MELS), the MELS regional directorate in Estrie calculates an average rate over three years. This calculation method minimizes the “cohort effect” that causes annual, and at times significant, fluctuations. This three-year approach focuses as much attention on school dropout rate trends as on annual fluctuations.
According to the Action Plan 2011-2016
MELS's indicators related to the target to achieve by 2016
Target 1: A decrease of 4 percentage points in the three year average rate for youth in the public sector who leave high school without a diploma or qualification going 25.5% to 21.5%.
Source :Les indicateurs de l’éducation, Direction des statistiques et de l’information décisionnelles (DSID) 2015.
The 3-year average rate of school leavers without a diploma or a qualification for the Estrie job market has decreased by 6.2% between the 2005-2008 and 2010-2013 triennium. It dropped from 26% to 19.8%. Reaching itsintended target for 2016. The current challenge is to maintain this target at its lowest level, given annual fluctuations that have an impacton the trend.
Target 2: A decrease of 5 percentage points in the three year average rate for boys in the public sector who leave high school without a diploma or qualification going 32.2% to 27.2%.
Source : Les indicateurs de l’éducation, Direction des statistiques et de l’information décisionnelles (DSID) 2015.
The 3-year averagerate for boys who leave school withouta diploma or a qualificationfor the public system in Estrie, continues to decrease. It went from 32.7% during the 2005-2008 triennium, to 24.4% during the 2010-2013 triennium. The target in 2016 has also been reached for boys, however, efforts concerning boys must be continued in order to maintain this downward trend.
Target 3: A decrease of 3 percentage points in the three year average rate for girls in the public sector who leave high school without a diploma or qualification going 18.6% to 15.6%.
Source : Les indicateurs de l’éducation, Direction des statistiques et de l’information décisionnelles (DSID) 2015.
The averagethree-year rate of girls leaving school without a diploma or a qualification for the public sector also continues to decline in Estrie.It went from 19.3% during the 2005-2008 triennium to 15.2% during the 2010-2013 triennium. The 2016target was also achieved.
Target 4: Increase of 9.5 percentage points in the qualification and graduation rate after seven years for the public sector, going from a rate of 67.5% to 77%.
Source : Les indicateurs de l’éducation, Direction des statistiques et de l’information décisionnelles (DSID) 2015.
From 2009 to 2013, the graduation and qualification rate in Estrie has increased steadily, from 67.5% to 74.2%. In 2014, the rate has decreased slightly compared to the prvious year.
